On Foxes and Hedgehogs: Assimilating the Dissimilar while Contemplating the Impalpable and the Imponderable
I boarded the nonstop flight from Miami to Buenos Aires. As in the previous years during this time, it was destined to be an exciting flight. My fellow co-passengers in that specially-designed section of the plane were Montesquieu, Tolstoy, Mordechai, Callias II,...
Japan: Abe’s Remaining Options
Blacksummit Financial Group is honored to publish the following piece by Dr. Daniel Stelter, with his permission. This is the first of three posts by Dr. Stelter that we will be publishing and distributing. Dr. Daniel Stelter is the founder of the German discussion...
Existential Market Disruptors, Part II: Contemplating Credit and Currency Scenarios for 2015
The purpose of this commentary is not to convey our outlook for 2015. That will be forthcoming in two parts in the next couple of weeks. Rather its purpose is to express some concerns regarding clouds that are gathering in the investment horizon and which are molded...
Weekly Market Update
Market Action Markets experienced their most turbulent week since the decline of mid-October. Going back to December 9th the Dow Jones lost close to 5% in the span of a week. Reasons for the decline are not entirely clear but talk of illiquidity, especially in...
Geopolitical Journal: December 17th
Geopolitical Headlines Russia Tension and fragility in Russia grow deeper every day and on a multitude of fronts. The precipitous decline of oil brings worry about the basic foundations of the Russian economy. Capital outflows have pressured the ruble to an all time...
Weekly Market Update
Market Action The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted its second worst week of 2014 as it joined other major global markets in a selloff of equities. The sharp downturn was led by sectors most traditionally exposed to global events, namely the energy, materials and...
Existential Disruptors Wanted: Markets’ Demarcation Destiny Faces the Sea of Risks
We live in a delusion. We face a sea of risks and we contemplate if we need more debt. This is like asking a diabetic if he needs more sugar. The global economic system faces a good chance of collapse in the foreseeable future and we are wondering if Draghi’s moral...
Weekly Market Update
Market Action A sterling jobs report released Friday morning pushed equities in the U.S. to overcome meager data unveiled earlier in the week. The addition of 321,000 jobs in November beat forecasts by more than 75,000. Mario Draghi disappointed a small segment of...
A Review of the Most Important Global Events in November by Monthly Barometer
The global economy seems to be afflicted by a sort of languor. The bottom line is this: extraordinarily aggressive monetary policies have failed to deliver robust and sustainable economic growth. Japan and the Eurozone are stuck in the mire, and although in the...
Weekly Market Update
Market Action A shortened trading week did not prevent markets from maintaining a bullish trend. Equities rose this week as economic data out of the U.S. supported growth and commentary from Europe points to sovereign bond purchases in early 2015. The energy sector...
