Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global equities made gains this week. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq increased 4.59% and 6.73%, respectively, and the Dow Jones rose 2.48% on the week. The U.S. 10-year Treasury note dropped back down to 4.24%, while the price of West Texas Intermediate...

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the unraveling of America’s traditional expertise-based foreign policy as political loyalists reshape global engagement, while a revived “concert of powers” vision signals a shift toward great-power accommodation and...

The Markets at a Junction: The Dollar, Seneca, the Flows of Capital, and Japan, Part II

When a market (or any institution) lacks an anchor, a myriad of negative repercussions unfold, starting with the lack of tranquility. The absence of the latter creates uncertainty, and the effect of the uncertainty is turmoil. In the following graph, we see the impact...

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive tariff policies and rhetoric, especially towards China and the EU, are major drivers of continued market uncertainty and volatility over the past two weeks. This is evidenced by the elevated VIX (hitting a high of over 53...

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine how Europe’s strategic identity is being tested as it stands at a crossroads between deeper alignment with a U.S.-led alliance and economic entanglement with China, amid rising tariff battles and an evolving doctrine of...

CROSSROADS: Middle East, Asia, Latin America, Sub-Saharan Africa

Middle East/North Africa Last week, Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz declared the seizure of extensive Gaza territory, creating "buffer zones" and effectively isolating Rafah, a city once sheltering over 250,000 Palestinians, with military maps showing a...

CROSSROADS: US, Europe, China & India

North America On April 2nd, U.S. President Donald Trump launched his “Liberation Day” tariff plan, imposing 10%–50% tariffs on nearly all foreign imports using a controversial formula based on trade surpluses, only to contradict prior statements over the...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global Equities Rebound Global equities gained this week, attempting to recover some losses from last week's correction. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq increased 5.70% and 7.29%, respectively, and the Dow Jones rose 4.95% on the week. The U.S....

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the accelerating disintegration of the postwar global order as President Trump’s sweeping tariffs threaten to unravel decades of economic integration and strain the transatlantic alliance, while scholars warn of a...

The Wooden Nickel: Tarrified

The Wooden Nickel is a collection of roughly a handful of recent topics that have caught our attention. Here you’ll find current, open-ended thoughts. We wish to use this piece as a way to think out loud in public rather than formal proclamations or projections....

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Markets recovered from last week’s sell off but still saw volatility continue with the Dow alternating triple digits moves throughout the week. The most apparent catalyst was the Federal Reserve’s published statement, which removed the word “patient”...

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Disappointing economic data and bouts with volatility kept U.S. markets down this week. Analysts cast a theme of blaming the dollar’s rise for keeping corporate profitability low for the foreseeable future. Stocks gave up their gains for the years except...

Drying Up The Collateral Base

Since 1873 the world has suffered two periods of great deflationary pressures: the first one from 1873-1893, and the second during the Great Depression in the 1930s. We may be facing a third one (at least according to several analysts), which has been forcing the...

Weekly Market Update

Market Action A surprising and sterling jobs number on Friday did not enthuse U.S. equities as a near 300-point fall in the Dow closed out the week. Utilities led the selloff on Friday, moving in tandem with bond yields, which also saw their highest point in 2015....

Weekly Market Update

Market Action U.S. markets closed out the month of February with one of the best months in the past few years, coming off a disappointing January. All sectors, save for the interest sensitive utilities, rose for the month. After agreeing to a deal with the Eurogroup...

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Thanks to a surge in markets on Friday major indices in the U.S. closed the week in positive territory. The main catalyst for the upswing was a deal reached between Greece and the Eurogroup for continuing the current program.   The deal between...

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