Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global equities made gains this week. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq increased 4.59% and 6.73%, respectively, and the Dow Jones rose 2.48% on the week. The U.S. 10-year Treasury note dropped back down to 4.24%, while the price of West Texas Intermediate...

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the unraveling of America’s traditional expertise-based foreign policy as political loyalists reshape global engagement, while a revived “concert of powers” vision signals a shift toward great-power accommodation and...

The Markets at a Junction: The Dollar, Seneca, the Flows of Capital, and Japan, Part II

When a market (or any institution) lacks an anchor, a myriad of negative repercussions unfold, starting with the lack of tranquility. The absence of the latter creates uncertainty, and the effect of the uncertainty is turmoil. In the following graph, we see the impact...

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive tariff policies and rhetoric, especially towards China and the EU, are major drivers of continued market uncertainty and volatility over the past two weeks. This is evidenced by the elevated VIX (hitting a high of over 53...

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine how Europe’s strategic identity is being tested as it stands at a crossroads between deeper alignment with a U.S.-led alliance and economic entanglement with China, amid rising tariff battles and an evolving doctrine of...

CROSSROADS: Middle East, Asia, Latin America, Sub-Saharan Africa

Middle East/North Africa Last week, Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz declared the seizure of extensive Gaza territory, creating "buffer zones" and effectively isolating Rafah, a city once sheltering over 250,000 Palestinians, with military maps showing a...

CROSSROADS: US, Europe, China & India

North America On April 2nd, U.S. President Donald Trump launched his “Liberation Day” tariff plan, imposing 10%–50% tariffs on nearly all foreign imports using a controversial formula based on trade surpluses, only to contradict prior statements over the...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global Equities Rebound Global equities gained this week, attempting to recover some losses from last week's correction. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq increased 5.70% and 7.29%, respectively, and the Dow Jones rose 4.95% on the week. The U.S....

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the accelerating disintegration of the postwar global order as President Trump’s sweeping tariffs threaten to unravel decades of economic integration and strain the transatlantic alliance, while scholars warn of a...

The Wooden Nickel: Tarrified

The Wooden Nickel is a collection of roughly a handful of recent topics that have caught our attention. Here you’ll find current, open-ended thoughts. We wish to use this piece as a way to think out loud in public rather than formal proclamations or projections....

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action The past week started positively for risk assets but turned sour on Thursday and Friday with markets reverting to their trends for the first six weeks of the year. Some disappointing earnings reports from leading names, including Apple, and chatter from...

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action Major U.S. indices hit their highest points since last July and set 2016 highs this week. Bond yields have also hit their highest mark in recent weeks, signaling renewed risk appetite in markets. The energy sector led this week on the back of rising...

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action European and Japanese shares led risk assets across the globe this week. Positive inflation data both in Britain and throughout the Euro area encouraged markets on the continent while Japan reiterated its readiness to intervene to prevent the Yen from...

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action Risk assets returned most of their gains from the past week as earnings season is set to pick up momentum. Analysts are estimating that earnings will fall 9% over last year’s level and hope that it marks a trough in the corporate sector. Safe havens...

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