Publications

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: October 17, 2015 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Stocks in the U.S. posted another week of gains and have largely recovered from their period of volatility in August. With the Fed Funds Futures and Bond Markets […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 14, 2015 |

Financial Distress: Infatuations and Magnificent Illusions

In his 1984 Shareholder Letter, Warren Buffett wrote: “The corpse is supposed to file the death certificate. Under this ‘honor system’ of mortality, the corpse sometimes gives itself the benefit […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: October 9, 2015 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Despite more data that questioned the health of the current macroeconomic environment asset markets had one of their best weeks in months. Energy and Materials, the two weakest […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 5, 2015 |

The Rolling Pyramid of Historical Financial Crises and the Moral Economic Imperatives: Distinguishing Causes from Symptoms

The Rolling Pyramid of Historical Financial Crises and the Moral Economic Imperatives: Distinguishing Causes from Symptoms We have noted in past commentaries that our global financial system moves from crisis […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 28, 2015 |

On the Disruption of the Disruptors: The Redrafting of a New Chapter in Global Developments

In the art of war (in the general spirit of geopolitical and geoeconomic diplomacy) the opponent’s greatest strength happens to be his greatest weakness. Let’s take a look at a […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: September 26, 2015 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action An upward revision to Q2 GDP growth from 3.7% to 3.9% couldn’t lift markets this past week. The downfall this week hit the Nasdaq especially hard as concerns […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: September 19, 2015 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action The September meeting of the Federal Reserve came and went without a change in monetary policy. Citing the effects on inflation from global weakness Janet Yellen still reiterated […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 17, 2015 |

Spreads and the Business Cycle: Opportunities and Risks

The Fed decided earlier today to postpone the increase in short term rates citing global growth and disinflationary concerns. We believe that such concerns are overstated, at least for developed […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: September 12, 2015 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action In the week before a long anticipated Fed meeting markets calm relative to their recent actions over the past month. Data was mixed on the week, with Job […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 9, 2015 |

Market Gyrations and Expectations: The Net Debt Perspective

As we noted in our last commentary (http://stage.blacksummitfg.com/3181), we anticipate some volatility during the next few weeks, but we also expect it to subside and for the market to find […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: September 8, 2015 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

The global economic outlook is becoming increasingly deflationary. The dual collapse in commodity prices and EM currencies, combined with and caused by the sharp deceleration in China, exerts strong deflationary […]