by Thierry Malleret | May 4, 2016 | Uncategorized
April 2016 Yet again the IMF global economic for 2016 have been revised downwards by 0.2 percentage points – to 3.2%. Global growth remains weak and uneven, beset by financial, geopolitical and political risks. The best-performing economies, like the US,...
by Thierry Malleret | Mar 29, 2016 | Uncategorized
March 2016 The data, in particular the sharp retrenchment in global capital and trade flows, shows that the world is facing a growing risk of “economic derailment”. In contrast to the recent rally in the financial markets, global growth continues to lose...
by Thierry Malleret | Feb 29, 2016 | Uncategorized
Today’s world is safer and richer than it has ever been, but this is of little comfort to those whose expectations are repeatedly disappointed. When one starts connecting the economic, geopolitical, societal and environmental dots, reasons to worry are mounting. In...
by Thierry Malleret | Feb 1, 2016 | Uncategorized
The global economy is about to enter its “third dip” (after the subprime and the Eurozone crises). The IMF just revised downwards its 2016 forecast for global growth to 3.4% (from 3.6%) and the World Bank to 2.9% for real GDP growth (down from 3.3%). Most likely these...
by Thierry Malleret | Sep 8, 2015 | Uncategorized
The global economic outlook is becoming increasingly deflationary. The dual collapse in commodity prices and EM currencies, combined with and caused by the sharp deceleration in China, exerts strong deflationary headwinds that affect the rest of the world. A situation...