Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy
June 2017 Lowflation is back. Core inflation is softer than expected, notably in the US and Europe, but also in other countries like China. The resultant flattening bond yields (before this week’s sell-off) are complicating the task of the Fed and other central...Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy
May 2017 The synchronized economic recovery continues to make headway, but the US and China, the engines that propel the global economy, are set to decelerate soon. We give below the reasons why Trump’s 3% GDP target is unrealistic and why US growth is likely...Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy
April 2017 The IMF global growth forecasts are on the move again, but for the first time in six years they’re on the up. They now anticipate global GDP will rise by 3.5% this year and 3.6% in 2018, the same as last October’s forecast. Albeit a rather tepid...Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy
March 2017 As in February, robust data continues to support the global synchronized economic recovery. A rise in global trade is taking hold (in volume terms, it just reached a 7-year high), with PMI / manufacturing activity above trend. So is consumer...Sign Up for Our Publications
