Assessing the 2020 Outlook: Part II

In last week’s commentary, we outlined our overall assessment of a decent start for 2020, but expressed our skepticism for the rest of the year (see Assessing the 2020 Outlook: Part I ). The upbeat perspective of most of the analysts for 2020 is based on loose...

Assessing the 2020 Outlook: Part I

We started assessing the outlook for 2020 a few weeks ago. The truth of the matter is that we are facing two almost equally probable scenarios: The first one (adopted by the great majority of analysts) says that growth will continue next year and that the equity...

The Titan has Fallen

Yesterday, was a very sad day for the US and the world. The economic giant Paul Volcker passed away. Paul Volcker by himself saved the economic system four times (with his counsel and famous memo to President John F. Kennedy related to the declining gold reserves in...