Author: John E. Charalambakis

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: December 13, 2018 |

Assessing the Prospects of 2019: Part II

Following our initial assessment of next year’s prospects, we discuss below some reasons that make us believe next year may be better than 2018. It seems that until this past […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: December 5, 2018 |

From Black Friday to Good Friday and Back: Economic Indicators, Trading Opportunities, and the Shakeup of Expectations

Economic indicators such as the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), Consumer Confidence Index, and the price of oil could be thought as signals of future economic activity. Last year the Eurozone […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: November 20, 2018 |

Headwinds vs. Tailwinds: An Initial Assessment of Undercurrent Trends Affecting the Market Outlook for 2019

As we are approaching the start of 2019, we could identify five important tailwinds and an equal number of headwinds going into play in the new year. Overall, we believe […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: November 13, 2018 |

Victor (as in Frankenstein), Prometheus (and Pandora), and Sisyphus (and the Rock): Defiance, Derivatives, and Midas

Victor Frankenstein was the creator of the monster and not the monster itself. Prometheus’ gift of fire to humans was offset by Pandora’s box. Sisyphus’ condemnation to keep rolling the […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: November 8, 2018 |

The Financial Ecosystem and the Dollar Trajectory: International Reserves, the Eurodollar Market, and Fiscal Policies

The international financial system is based on credit. At the heart of that system is the bond market whose global size exceeds $100 trillion. Just in the US, the bond […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 25, 2018 |

Reflections on the Market’s Turmoil

Yesterday, while I was boarding an overseas flight, the markets were experiencing significant turmoil. During the long flight, I had the opportunity to contemplate the causes of the recent turmoil. […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 24, 2018 |

Repricing Expectations: Reconciling Market Disruptions and the Earnings Momentum

Yesterday the Nasdaq index touched correction territory by dropping more than 10% since its recent highs. Should we be expecting a correction or even a bear market for the rest […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 16, 2018 |

Ozymandias and our Great Circus: Ironies, Myths, and Realities

Percy Shelley’s poem titled “Ozymandias” is a sonnet, just a fourteen-line verse form that Petrarch, Spencer, and Shakespeare used during the Renaissance. Following Petrarch’s style, Shelley introduces an octave in […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 11, 2018 |

Trying to Make Sense of Recent Market Movements

Yesterday’s drop of more than 3% in equities generated concerns about experiencing a correction similar to the one that we saw earlier this year. The fact is that the market […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 3, 2018 |

Towards a Policy of Rate Neutrality: Implications for Asset Allocation

Since December 2015 the Fed has raised short-term interest rates eight times (from 0-0.25% where it stood in December 2015) to the current level of 2-2.25%. Analysts anticipate that the […]