Author: John E. Charalambakis

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: November 14, 2019 |

The Circus and the Dreams: Paint it Black

Immanuel Kant’s definition of our modern era and of the Age of Enlightenment was that “Enlightenment is man’s emergence from his self-incurred immaturity…The motto of Enlightenment is therefore: Sapere Aude! […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: November 6, 2019 |

Historical Anachronisms and Fallacies: The Vengeance of Complacency

First of all, allow us to start with some clarifications/definitions: Heraclitus Fallacy: The belief that history imposes no constraints. Failing to comprehend the past not only signifies ignorance, but is […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 23, 2019 |

Shifting Risks and Unintended Consequences for Portfolios: We Live in a Zero-Sum World

We are now under the auspices of a zero-sum game world due to negligible productivity growth rate. Such a shift can be seen as a symptom of trade wars. We […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 16, 2019 |

Deteriorating Economic Sentiment: Down the Path of Guicciardini’s Maxims

Yesterday the IMF downgraded its projections for economic growth. In its announcement it warned that such action is the result of self-inflicted wounds created by a “precarious” trade war. At […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 11, 2019 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Global equity markets were buoyed late in the week by hopes for a truce in the US–China trade war and optimism that a Brexit deal might be reached […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 8, 2019 |

False Positive Signals Meet Immanuel Kant: Recessionary Indications & Portfolio Considerations

Composite models that assess the risk of a recession in the next 12 months indicate that the probability of a recession happening in the next 12 months has fallen slightly. […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 26, 2019 |

The Mispricing of Assets, the Repricing of Expectations, and the Incineration of Reason: Investment Strategy in the Valley of the Missing Link

What do the US and UK political developments as well as the stock market valuation have to do with the Peloponnesian War fought between Athens and Sparta (431-404 BCE)? In […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 19, 2019 |

Short-Term Borrowing Crunch: An Aberration or a Signal of Trouble?

In the course of the last couple of days the Fed has been injecting significant amounts of liquidity (to the tune of $75 billion per day) into the financial system. […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 12, 2019 |

A Few Random Thoughts on Economic Structural Integrity: Global Order Meets Finance

The story of humankind has been a long tale of war, tyranny, misery, conflict, and illiberalism. To that extent the recent decades of relative peace and prosperity, along with the […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 27, 2019 |

Contemplating the Ramifications of a Slowdown

Last Friday’s trade war escalation may not be substantial in terms of GDP impact but could indicate a turn in the ongoing trade disputes and may inflict significant damage in […]