Commentary/Blog

By: Laura Hochstetler | On: October 1, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Spanish authorities have confiscated millions of voting papers in Catalonia and stationed additional police in the region ahead of Sunday’s independence referendum, with the vote declared illegal by […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: September 28, 2017 |

Market Implications of Forthcoming Central Banks’ Changing Policies: Liquidity & Recessionary Considerations

According to the Fed’s recent announcement, the US central bank will start shrinking its balance sheet shortly, while we are expecting it to raise short-term rates in December. At the […]

By: Laura Hochstetler | On: September 24, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Major stock indexes rose to records earlier this week, then decreased—closing mostly flat or slightly down for the week—while treasury yields increased, as global tension came back into […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 21, 2017 |

Why Have We Been Switching the Headlines? War Games and the US Dollar

Throughout the ages, war has been the engine of finance. The collusion between Russia and China in the last few weeks and months in order to bypass the US dollar […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: September 17, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action U.S. stocks rose to weekly gains in a stretch that included four straight records for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The S&P 500, Dow industrials and Nasdaq Composite […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 14, 2017 |

Chinese Slowdown: Potential Ramifications for Asset Allocation

The latest data from Chinese economic activity came in below expectations and point to a possible further slowdown for the next year. Specifically, infrastructure spending dropped and this weighed down […]

By: Laura Hochstetler | On: September 10, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action The major stock indices—and especially US stocks—moved lower this week amid concern about the impact of hurricanes Harvey and Irma (while Mexico was shaken by its strongest earthquake […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 6, 2017 |

Echoes of War: Undisciplined Policies in the Context of Historical Developments

Our world has been cycling between chaos and order since the beginning of the modern economic era. We define the modern economic era as the period that started with the […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: September 5, 2017 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

August 2017   Multiple engines of growth continue to propel the global economy in a synchronized fashion: all 45 countries tracked by the OECD are currently growing, with 33 accelerating […]

By: Laura Hochstetler | On: September 3, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action All three major US stock market indices posted weekly advances, and a strong showing for tech and biotech stocks helped the Nasdaq show its best weekly performance so […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 1, 2017 |

Jackson Hole and the 10th Anniversary from the Financial Crisis: QExit and Prospects

The central bankers’ conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming ended last week, and with it several questions arose as we reached the 10th anniversary of the financial crisis started showing its […]