Commentary/Blog

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: June 1, 2017 |

Tending the Garden: Credit Risks in the Ocean called Debt

Moody’s downgrade of Chinese debt a few days ago was treated like a non-event. Chinese domestic bond prices did not change and Chinese equity prices actually rose. Is that a […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: May 31, 2017 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

May 2017   The synchronized economic recovery continues to make headway, but the US and China, the engines that propel the global economy, are set to decelerate soon. We give […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: May 28, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Moody’s lowered China’s credit rating by two notches this week citing surging liabilities and weakening financial strength within the country. The move marks the first rating downgrade of […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: May 24, 2017 |

Financial Gravity and Paradigm Shifts: What Could Disrupt the Disruptors?

Over the course of the last year, investors poured billions of dollars into emerging markets, seeking higher yields and higher overall returns. Emerging markets have rewarded that trust, and as […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: May 21, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action The Euro hit its highest level in several months this week as the dollar fell for over five consecutive days. German elections that point to Merkel being reelected, […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: May 17, 2017 |

The Reshaping of Global Trade and Recent Economic Trends

A major Chinese conference related to the New Silk Road ended two days ago. The conference centered on the theme of “One Belt, One Road”, which is the Chinese equivalent […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: May 14, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action The U.S. and China stuck an agreement on a 10 point trade package on Friday centered around good and services such as beef, poultry, natural gas, financial services […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: May 9, 2017 |

Sic Tranit Gloria Mundi: Defining Moments in Global Financial History and the Undercurrent of Today’s Developments

There are revolutions, wars, and historical periods that have defined global developments and carry significant weight in shaping up the world economy to this day. There is little if any […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: May 6, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action The April employment report came in much stronger than expectations. The unemployment rate fell to 4.4%, a post-crisis low on the heels of 211,000 jobs created in April. […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: May 3, 2017 |

The Powerhouse of Structural Changes: Co-integration, Co-movement, and Disintegration

By 460 CE the Roman Army was dominated by Germanic troops. By that time they had also forgotten a basic lesson that it is the army that elects the Emperor.  […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: May 2, 2017 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

April 2017   The IMF global growth forecasts are on the move again, but for the first time in six years they’re on the up. They now anticipate global GDP will […]