Commentary/Blog

By: Laura Hochstetler | On: September 10, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action The major stock indices—and especially US stocks—moved lower this week amid concern about the impact of hurricanes Harvey and Irma (while Mexico was shaken by its strongest earthquake […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 6, 2017 |

Echoes of War: Undisciplined Policies in the Context of Historical Developments

Our world has been cycling between chaos and order since the beginning of the modern economic era. We define the modern economic era as the period that started with the […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: September 5, 2017 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

August 2017   Multiple engines of growth continue to propel the global economy in a synchronized fashion: all 45 countries tracked by the OECD are currently growing, with 33 accelerating […]

By: Laura Hochstetler | On: September 3, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action All three major US stock market indices posted weekly advances, and a strong showing for tech and biotech stocks helped the Nasdaq show its best weekly performance so […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 1, 2017 |

Jackson Hole and the 10th Anniversary from the Financial Crisis: QExit and Prospects

The central bankers’ conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming ended last week, and with it several questions arose as we reached the 10th anniversary of the financial crisis started showing its […]

By: Laura Hochstetler | On: August 27, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action US stocks recorded gains for the week, mostly due to a solid rally on Tuesday. Trading volumes were light, however, as investors showed caution in anticipation of guidance […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 23, 2017 |

The Ataraxia (Tranquility) of the Market and Its Breath: Stoic, Epicurean, or Sceptic?

It has been well-recorded that the equity market’s volatility is pretty low by historical standards as the following 10-year graph shows. This kind of ataraxia (tranquility) may be the equivalent […]

By: Laura Hochstetler | On: August 20, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action The major stock markets finished Friday on a negative note, adding to their losses for the second consecutive week of broad market declines attributed to geopolitical concerns (North […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 17, 2017 |

Corporate Earnings, Equities Trajectory, and Risks: Considering the Purchase of Cheap Insurance

Over the course of the past several months we have reiterated the point that good growth earnings provide market justification for further rises in the equities market. We continue supporting […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 10, 2017 |

Commodities, Volatility, and Cryptocurrencies: Some Initial Thoughts

Commodity prices usually follow long cycles. As the graph below shows, commodities enjoyed a good run from the early 1990s to the dawn of the financial crisis and recovered pretty […]

By: Laura Hochstetler | On: August 6, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the week at a fresh record, buoyed by a jobs report that showed employers continued hiring at a healthy rate in July. […]