Commentary/Blog

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: March 18, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action The Federal Reserve proceeded with another rate hike this week, just as markets expected. Chair Janet Yellen cited confidence in the progression of the economy’s fundamentals as the […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: March 15, 2017 |

From Convergence to Divergence: Emerging Markets in Expectation of Higher Rates

Over the course of the last few months, we observe that not only developed markets have been enjoying good returns, but also emerging markets rise along with them. As the […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: March 11, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action The U.S. added 235,000 jobs in February, far above the 198,000 that analysts and economists had estimated. The unemployment rate fell to 4.7% while labor force participation and […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: March 9, 2017 |

Reflation Trades and Upbeat Sentiment: Rates, Oil, and the Containment of Risks

It seems that analysts around the world are singing from the same chorus book, called Reflation. If we could define the latter we would say that it refers to a […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: March 4, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action The Dow’s streak of closing at consecutive highs ended at 13 but shares still ended the week at further record levels. Markets added more than 1% on Wednesday […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: March 2, 2017 |

Has the Unleashing of Animal Spirits Time Arrived? A Little Caution due to the Doom Loop

A year ago equity and commodity markets were in a panic mode. Chinese tremors, fears of deflation, oil prices below $30 a barrel, declining commodity prices (such as copper), and […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: February 28, 2017 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

February 2017   For the first time in years, we see the possibility of an upside in global growth rather than the opposite. Stronger data keeps coming from the countries/regions […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: February 25, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action The Dow Jones has hit 11 consecutive closing highs, a streak that hasn’t been seen since 1987. Plans for tax reform this summer and higher GDP growth goals […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: February 22, 2017 |

U.S. Economic Developments Meet European Politics: Upswing Targets Convergence

The equities market continues its upswing trend and as its tide rises, other equity markets around the world follow it too, given that expectations and economic fundamentals in other places […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: February 18, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action Another week and another set of new highs for major U.S. indices. The growth in stocks this week has pushed equities to their richest valuation (on a forward […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: February 16, 2017 |

The Enigma of a Divergence: The Uncertainty Index vs. the Volatility Index

In last week’s commentary we wrote that the earnings, production, and income pictures look good and that the market has legs to make further earnings. The market continued in its […]