By: Thierry Malleret | On: May 2, 2017 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

April 2017   The IMF global growth forecasts are on the move again, but for the first time in six years they’re on the up. They now anticipate global GDP will […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: March 31, 2017 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

March 2017   As in February, robust data continues to support the global synchronized economic recovery. A rise in global trade is taking hold (in volume terms, it just reached […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: February 28, 2017 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

February 2017   For the first time in years, we see the possibility of an upside in global growth rather than the opposite. Stronger data keeps coming from the countries/regions […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: January 31, 2017 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

January 2017   The start of the Trump era is both a tipping point and a monumental paradigm shift. His “two simple rules: buy American and hire American” are the […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: January 2, 2017 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

December 2016   Just how bad was 2016? We won’t know until we can compare it to 2017! Despite the reality of better global living standards than ever before, today’s world […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: November 30, 2016 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

November 2016   In response to the ubiquitous head scratching as to what Trump has in store for the US and the rest of the world, we probed the exceptional […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: November 1, 2016 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

October 2016   In the coming months, political risk will continue to rise while global growth pursues its deceleration at a slow, but inexorable, rate, reflecting the structural changes engulfing […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: September 30, 2016 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

September 2016   More and more, decision-makers and market participants are coming to the realization that ultra-low interest rates reflect profound structural issues – most notably global ageing, falling productivity rates and rising inequalities […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: September 1, 2016 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

August 2016 If we had to capture the mood at Jackson Hole (the meeting of central bankers) with just one word, it would be: anxiety. Despite participants putting on a brave face, there […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: July 29, 2016 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

July 2016   The “risky trinity” (in the words of the BIS) of (1) unusually low productivity growth, (2) historically high global debt levels and (3) remarkably narrow room for policy manoeuver explains […]